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聊城翻译公司关键字：Abstract: In recent years, farmers 'income growth rate of China's continuous decline in major grain producing areas farmers' income growth rate below the national average, the income of many Chunnong Hu continued to hover and even decline. Farmers' income has increasingly become the focus of our society, many scholars have carried out extensive and in-depth study. In this paper, the income of the farmers on agricultural policy variable sensitivity analysis, aimed at agricultural policy from a number of variables extracted from a more effective policy or policy mix to improve our farmers' income, the government making the relevant decisions to focus on the sensitive of major policy variables for China's agricultural development policies provide a scientific basis.
Keywords: policy variables; farmers' income; sensitivity analysisSince 1997, China's farmers 'income growth rate has declined for five consecutive years, major grain producing areas farmers' income growth below the national average, many Chunnong Hu continued to hover or even declining income, urban-rural income gap is widening again, urban residents disposable income and rural per capita net income ratio of 3.24:1 in 2003, a record high. Difficulties in increasing farmers' income, to food production-based revenue growth Chunnong Hu is particularly difficult. The purpose of this paper through the agricultural policy variables in the national agricultural research to achieve the total expenditure in certain circumstances to achieve the maximization of farmers' income.
First, agricultural policies and their effects measured variable extraction method described(A) agricultural policy variable extractionThis paper selects three types of policy variables, due to the reasons for data acquisition, policy variables selected to achieve much, but these indicators have a strong representation of these policy variables to achieve the objective of farmers' income level of analysis, hoping to right the effect of China's agricultural policy to judge. This indicator measures the level of farmers' income data used in "From the first industrial production of net income", because since 1986 the author of "per capita income of rural households" and "From the first industrial production of net income." made a correlation analysis resulted in two was positively correlated, the correlation coefficient of 0.98424, similar to linear. This study of agricultural policy in the variable as follows:
National macro-agriculture policy: to support rural production costs and operating expenses of agriculture, agricultural 科技三项费 use; market price protection policy: agricultural price index, price index of agricultural production; other policies: agriculture, the tax per one hundred labor force in the secondary level and above.
(B) the effects of agricultural policy introduced measurement methodIn this paper we define the size of the effect of agricultural policy from non-agricultural industries to the agricultural unit transfer amount of the unpaid contribution of agricultural development. This article assumes that rational agricultural development strategy should support the strategic objectives that the marginal effect of good policies, and then support the strategic objectives that the marginal effect of second-best policy, the amount of the last unit of input into any policy on agriculture has been the target effect is the same of. Strategic objectives of this study is income of the farmers, so farmers 'income in order to better solve the problem, the agricultural development strategy should be to support those marginal farmers' income effect of a good policy, then the marginal effect of income to support those farmers next best policy, the last unit inputs into the agricultural policy on any income of the farmers get the same effect. In this paper, the effect of farmers 'income is used the sensitivity analysis (elastic analysis), that farmers' incomes policy variables on the sensitivity analysis.
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